Analysts describe Nintendo's sales forecast for the Switch 2 as "conservative," citing ongoing tariff-related uncertainties.
In its latest financial report, Nintendo projects selling 15 million Switch 2 units and 45 million games by March 31, 2026. The console launches on June 5.
The company stated its forecast accounts for current U.S. tariff rates effective since April 10, though it acknowledged potential adjustments could impact projections. Nintendo emphasized it would "closely monitor market conditions" to adapt accordingly.
Daniel Ahmad, Research Director at Niko Partners, noted the 15 million target appears "conservative," tweeting that Nintendo seems to account for "tariff volatility, pricing challenges, and manufacturing constraints despite strong pre-order trends."
Ahmad added Nintendo might revise projections if tariffs ease, but cautioned: "The immediate challenge involves ripple effects already complicating the console's launch environment, plus potential tariff increases."
Notably, selling 15 million units in Year 1 would make Switch 2 one of history's most successful console launches, surpassing the original Switch's 14.87 million debut sales.
Switch 2 demand appears overwhelming. Despite tariff-induced delays, pre-orders launched April 24 at $449.99 — selling out predictably fast. Meanwhile, Nintendo alerted U.S. My Nintendo Store customers that high demand may delay release-day deliveries.
For details, visit IGN's Nintendo Switch 2 pre-order guide.
